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From Mensagenda - May 2003

MP3: MT Threat
by Tim Goetsch


Pity the poor recording industry. Sales of music CDs are down 20 percent over the past two years. Could it be that the industry has lost touch with its customers? You might think so, but industry leaders say otherwise. According to them, the problem is music piracy.

There are countless sites on the Internet where you can download music for free. Mighty generous, you say. Thing is, you’re supposed to pay for this stuff. Most of these Web sites are operating illegally, and they pop up faster than they can be shut down. The music industry says that these downloads are ruining their business.

Me? I’m not so sure.

I agree that music piracy is costing the music industry money. What I disagree with is the scale and newness of the problem. There’s no guarantee that music pirates would buy if they couldn’t pirate. In earlier times, they might have gone to friends’ houses to copy from vinyl to cassette, or would have gone without.

The Internet makes pirating easier and more common. But the idea that it is ruining the industry can be refuted with two words: classical music. It’s not just popular music that has been hit; the whole music industry is hurting economically; classical music, too.

The most commonly used format for downloading music is MP3, because it uses small files that download quickly over the Internet. Thing is, “small file” is another way of saying “less information,” and that translates to lowered sound quality. Classical music fans are notorious for their love of good sound quality. They want to hear the musicians breathing. MP3 is not an option.

There are other factors at work here. Remember those heady days when CDs were new? The sound quality was great, the disk was less likely to scratch than vinyl, everyone knew it was the coming thing, and they cost $14.00 to $20.00. A little expensive maybe, but you didn’t have much choice. Nowadays people can record their own CDs, and you can buy blank CDs in bulk for less than the price of a similar number of postage stamps. Yet a recently issued music CD will still set you back $14.00 to $20.00. It’s one thing to suspect you’re being ripped off; it’s another thing to know it for a fact. Even if you don’t take up pirating, you’re going to think twice about buying another prerecorded CD.

We are also seeing a fundamental change in the entertainment industry. For a certain price, you can buy a CD of the music used in a movie. For four or six dollars more, you can buy the movie itself, plus a documentary of the making of the movie, plus bloopers and outtakes, plus a secondary audio track, to be played concurrently with the movie, in which the director explains how he set up each shot. DVDs are the flavor of the month for people who like both technology and entertainment. You get more for your money than you do with CDs.

That’s not the only way they compete. I suspect that people’s music collections are starting to mature. People have been buying CDs for about two decades, and they weren’t just buying new music. In the early days, it made the news when famous albums from the ’60s and ’70s were reissued on CD. People bought like crazy to replace their fragile vinyl records. The music industry thought it would last forever, but it had to slow down sometime.

Change “vinyl” to “VHS,” “music” to “movies,” and “CD” to “DVD,” and you have what’s happening now. Once the feeding frenzy ends, maybe people will go back to spending discretionary income on CDs. Or maybe they’ll buy some other new technology. We’ll see.

Let’s also give a nod to that old cliché “a poor economy.” The recording industry’s problems started before the current economic downturn, but recession is certainly reducing their options.

None of the above is necessarily fatal to the music industry. It may be a tough row to hoe, but good management can deal with hard times. Problem is, the people running the industry are a bunch of losers.

Somebody had to say it.

If I produced a product that was stolen using a process comparable to MP3, I would put out a press release saying something like, “I am upset that people would steal my intellectual property, but once people realize they are getting an inferior product, they will come back.” Then I’d lower pricing.

The industry, however, has a different reaction. “Pirates! Gasp! Don’t listen to that! Call the lawyers! Boo hoo!” Missing from the mix is a discussion of quality. That comes across as a big ol’ Freudian slip. When music executives concede that their own music can’t compete with a substandard imitation of itself, then they are admitting that pop music, especially rock, sucks. They would never admit it out loud, but the people who sell it know it’s true.

Last year’s Grammy winner for best album was the soundtrack from the movie Oh Brother Where Art Thou? That amounted to a wake-up call, a challenge to break out of the pop music mold and try something else, maybe bluegrass and old-timey music like they had in the movie, or any one of the thousands of other musical styles that there are in the world. But the music industry is stuck in the rock-rap-country rut, and everything else is a specialty market that isn’t taken seriously. Instead of innovating, they try litigating. Since the wheels of justice turn slowly, there’s no way that approach can keep up with the problem, even if it worked.

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